Monday, June 15, 2009

I disagree with Bulliet:

Bloomberg news
relevant snippet:

Bulliet predicted that the Guardian Council, the election’s supervisory body, with the authority to review the results, will still endorse the outcome within the next week.

Repercussions Predicted

If the protests continue after then, “Khamenei could respond to street unrest by declaring martial law and imposing curfews,” he said.

The problem is when will the people stop and what happens in the interim, will the army also rise up?

How many people continue to protest?

If the opposition groups make a concerted effort, break through to the clerics (Khameini) then there is a chance a real revolution will happen.